Shared Socioeconomic Pathways
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Basic DriversIAM Quantification (2018)Map ExplorerLicense

IAM Quantifications (v2, December 2018)

The IAM quantifications of the SSPs presented in Riahi et al. (2017) and extended by Rogelj et al. (2018) are available on the data explorer page.

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Legacy Web Database

Recommended citation for the IAM quantifications of the SSPs

The Shared Socioeconomic Pathways and their energy, land use, and greenhouse gas emissions implications: An overview
Keywan Riahi, Detlef P. van Vuuren, Elmar Kriegler, et al. (2017)
Global Environmental Change, Volume 42, pp 153-168.
DOI
10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2016.05.009

In addition, please cite the following manuscript when using the low- stabilization scenarios for 1.9W/m2:

Scenarios towards limiting global mean temperature increase below 1.5°C
Joeri Rogelj, Alexander Popp, Katherine Calvin, et al. (2018)
Nature Climate Change, Volume 8, pp 325-332.
DOI
10.1038/s41558-018-0091-3

Recommended citation for the SSP IAM "Marker" scenarios and model documentation

SSP1: Energy, land-use and greenhouse gas emissions trajectories under a green growth paradigm
Detlef P. van Vuuren, Elke Stehfest, David E.H.J. Gernaat, et al. (2017)
Global Environmental Change, Volume 42, pp 237-250.
DOI
10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2016.05.008
SSP2: A middle-of-the-road scenario for the 21st century
Oliver Fricko, Petr Havlik, Joeri Rogelj, et al. (2017)
Global Environmental Change, Volume 42, pp 251-267.
DOI
10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2016.06.004
SSP3: AIM implementation of Shared Socioeconomic Pathways
Shinichiro Fujimori, Tomoko Hasegawa, Toshihiko Masui, et al. (2017)
Global Environmental Change, Volume 42, pp 268-283.
DOI
10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2016.06.009
SSP4: A world of deepening inequality
Katherine Calvin, Ben Bond-Lamberty, Leon Clarke, et al. (2017)
Global Environmental Change, Volume 42, pp 284-296.
DOI
10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2016.06.010
SSP5: Fossil-fueled development - An energy and resource intensive scenario for the 21st century
Elmar Kriegler, Nico Bauer, Alexander Popp, et al. (2017)
Global Environmental Change, Volume 42, pp 297-315.
DOI
10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2016.05.015

Additional detail about land-use, air pollution and energy sector trends

Land-use futures in the Shared Socio-economic Pathways
Alexander Popp, Katherine Calvin, Shinichiro Fujimori, Petr Havlik, et al. (2017)
Global Environmental Change, Volume 42, pp 331-345.
DOI
10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2016.10.002
Future air pollution in the Shared Socio-economic Pathways
Shilpa Rao, Zbigniew Klimont, Steven J. Smith, et al. (2017)
Global Environmental Change, Volume 42, pp 346-358.
DOI
10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2016.05.012
Shared Socio-Economic Pathways of the energy sector – Quantifying the narratives
Nico Bauer, Katherine Calvin, Johannes Emmerling, Oliver Fricko, et al. (2017)
Global Environmental Change, Volume 42, pp 316-330.
DOI
10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2016.07.006